Analysis from all of Saturday's Sweet 16 games

16 hours ago 10

Mar 28, 2026, 09:32 PM ET

The Elite Eight is set! After a thrilling start to the action on Friday, four more teams moved on to the next round on Saturday. In the day's first three matchups, Michigan, Texas and South Carolina showed their might, controlling their matchups for most of their games. Virginia-TCU was hard-fought, but in the end, the Horned Frogs won to move on to their second straight Elite Eight.

Here is ESPN's guide to all of Saturday's action, with analysis from Kendra Andrews, Charlotte Gibson, Alexa Philippou and Michael Voepel on site at the regionals.

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(3) TCU 79, (10) Virginia 69

How TCU won: Though Virginia gained early control of the game and led through the first half, TCU opened the second half on an 11-point scoring streak and kept its foot on the gas for the remainder of the game. In the end, Virginia's defense was unable to contain TCU's Olivia Miles and Marta Suarez, who went off for a combined 61 points. This is the eighth game this season where both scored 20 points -- the highest total of any duo in Division I. It was the Horned Frogs' ability to create wide-open opportunities from Miles' passes that ultimately determined the game for TCU. By the second half, Miles simply couldn't be stopped by Virginia's defense. And despite the efforts of Virginia's Kymora Johnson to energize her team and apply pressure in the paint, Virginia couldn't keep up with TCU's pace.

How the Horned Frogs can advance to the Final Four: Two words: Olivia Miles. If you look at TCU's slower starts, the key factor is Miles' ability to take full control of the court in the second half. The second half is where Miles makes her magic. And if Miles and Suarez can continue to be in sync on offense, TCU will force many defenses to surrender to its power in and out of the paint. Miles and Suarez scored or assisted on all 79 points for TCU. Keeping that momentum, the duo will be able to put up a fight against South Carolina's defense. It's in Miles' smooth and crafted passes that create multiple opportunities for her offense to rise to the occasion. Before tonight's matchup, TCU was 4-2 this season when trailing at the end of the first. But from here, TCU will need to dominate on offense early and capitalize off Miles' mastery at the lead. South Carolina's power on defense will slow down TCU's offense if the Horned Frogs don't start their matchup strong in the Elite Eight. -- Charlotte Gibson

(1) South Carolina 94, (4) Oklahoma 68

How South Carolina won: South Carolina took away any rhythm that Oklahoma was trying to build on Saturday. The Sooners were held to fewer than 70 points for the fourth time this season, and in particular, the Gamecocks did an excellent job at quieting Raegan Beers. South Carolina threw a steady rotation of defenders at Beers, sometimes doubling her with their own size -- something the 6-foot-4 Beers doesn't see all that often. The senior center finished 5-of-9 from the floor and would have liked to see her number of touches be much higher. OU committed 15 turnovers, leading to 36 South Carolina points.

On offense, Ta'Niya Latson and Raven Johnson scored or assisted on 63 (67%) of South Carolina's points. Johnson's 18 points were a career high in the NCAA tournament. Latson finished with 28, two shy of her tournament career high.

How the Gamecocks can advance to the Final Four: South Carolina has to wait a few more hours before it knows if it will face TCU or Virginia in the Elite Eight, but either way, the opponent will present an unfamiliar foe for the Gamecocks. South Carolina hasn't played the Horned Frogs since 2024 (85-52 win) and hasn't played the Cavaliers since 2018 (66-56 victory). It sounds simple, but for South Carolina to make it past either of these teams, the Gamecocks have to keep up the same level of intensity and execution they've had through the first three games of the tournament.

South Carolina has opened the tournament with three consecutive 90-point games (including two 100-point games in the first two rounds) for the first time in program history. Its plus-135 point differential through the Sweet 16 is the fifth largest in tournament history. The Gamecocks are looking to make it to the Final Four for the sixth year in a row. -- Kendra Andrews


(1) Texas 76, (5) Kentucky 54

How Texas won: The first half Saturday was one of the more impressive stretches we've seen from the Longhorns, especially considering the Sweet 16 stage. They look like a well-oiled machine that's playing its best basketball at the right time, in the first half alone shooting 59%, forcing 11 Wildcats turnovers and breezing down the court with a 14-0 margin in fast-break scoring. The second half was more competitive, but with such a large cushion, it didn't make a difference as long as the Longhorns kept the Wildcats relatively at bay, which they did. Texas has won each of its first three NCAA tournament games by 20-plus points for the first time in program history.

How the Longhorns can advance to the Final Four: It always starts on the defensive end for Vic Schaefer, so his team will surely be zeroed in on slowing down the Wolverines' star pair of Olivia Olson and Syla Swords. Continuing to lean into their depth will also help the Longhorns: They finished Saturday's game with five players scoring at least eight points. The size of Breya Cunningham (6-foot-4) and Kyla Oldacre (6-6) on the inside is something Michigan can't match -- its tallest players are 6-3 -- so the Longhorns can look to take advantage there. -- Alexa Philippou


(2) Michigan 71, (3) Louisville 52

How Michigan won: Two runs basically put this game away for the Wolverines: an 18-2 spurt in the final 6:36 of the first half, and then a 20-2 burst to end the third quarter. Michigan is the first team in the last eight seasons to have multiple 16-0 runs in the same game in the Sweet 16 or later. The Wolverines' press was effective in throwing the Cardinals off balance. They ultimately forced 18 turnovers and held the Cardinals to 35% shooting, including 3-of-14 from the 3-point line. Michigan's dominance on the glass (plus-9) also allowed the Wolverines to come away with 15 second-chance points, while their bench also bested Louisville's 18-9.

How the Wolverines can advance to the Final Four: The Wolverines -- who will play the winner of Texas-Kentucky, are the last No. 2 seed standing after Iowa lost in the second round and Vanderbilt and LSU were eliminated Friday. To make history and advance to the program's first Final Four, they'll need sophomore stars Olivia Olson and Syla Swords to be great, but also to get contributions from multiple other players on that end of the floor. That, of course, might be difficult against either SEC team that is known for defending at a high level.

Their prized sophomore class has never played this deep in the tournament, which they'll hope does not ultimately work against them. -- Alexa Philippou

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