What's on the line as WSL reaches business end?

5 hours ago 1

Split picture of Leicester, Manchester City and Crystal Palace players - representing relegation, title and promotion prospectsImage source, Getty Images

ByCiara Fleming

BBC Sport journalist

Manchester City's stumble at Brighton on Saturday afternoon has left the door slightly ajar in the Women's Super League title race.

After leading for so long, are they really about to be thwarted at the finish line again?

Elsewhere, the battles to qualify for the Champions League, avoid relegation and win promotion could all go down to the final kick of the 2025-26 season.

BBC Sport explores how it looks with just a handful of games left.

When can the title be won?

WSL top four - Manchester City (49 points), Chelsea (40), Arsenal (38), Manchester United (38)Image source, BBC Sport

Despite their slip at Brighton, Manchester City remain heavy favourites to win the title.

They sit on 49 points with two matches left. If they win both they are guaranteed to finish top, but four points would probably be enough given their goal difference is 13 better than Arsenal's for now.

City fans will be sweating at the thought of being pipped to the trophy as they yearn for an end to their decade-long wait.

Losing out to Chelsea by two points in 2020-21 and on goal difference in 2023-24 are recent reminders of close calls with glory.

For the chasing Gunners, with three games in hand, the task is simple: win all of their remaining games to exert maximum pressure.

If they manage that, they will reach 53 points, which would still only be enough to sneak the title if City were to falter.

Who's going to qualify for the Champions League?

The race to secure qualification for next season's Champions League is going right down to the wire.

Manchester City are already in and only need a single point to seal a top-two spot and automatic qualification. The other two places will be fought over by Arsenal, Chelsea and Manchester United.

The Gunners (38 points) still have five games to play, but Chelsea (40 points) will go five points clear of them in second with two to go should they beat Everton on Sunday.

Manchester United (38 points) may need to win their remaining three games, including at Chelsea on the final day.

Who's going into the relegation play-off?

WSL bottom four - Leicester (9), West Ham (13), Liverpool (17),  Aston Villa (20)Image source, BBC Sport

For this season only, the team that finish bottom will have the redemption of a relegation play-off.

They will face the third-best team from WSL 2 in a winner-takes-all game for a place in next season's top flight.

Leicester City (nine points) appear the most likely, sitting four adrift of nearest rivals West Ham (13 points), albeit with a game in hand.

The Foxes still face a tricky trip to London City, followed by games with Arsenal and Chelsea before finishing up against Everton.

For the Hammers, it is trips to Liverpool and Aston Villa, before hosting title-chasing Manchester City on the final day.

Who could join the top tier?

WSL 2 top four - Birmingham, Charlton (both 41 points), Palace (38), Newcastle (33)Image source, BBC Sport

With the WSL expanding to 14 teams next season, this is a prime opportunity for teams from the second division to win promotion.

Birmingham City and Charlton Athletic (41 points each) occupy the two automatic spots and will clinch promotion if they avoid defeat in their games against Ipswich and Southampton respectively on Sunday.

In third, Crystal Palace (38 points) need only a point to secure the play-off spot although Newcastle (33 points) retain an outside shout of overhauling them.

Newcastle will need to win their final two games and hope Palace stumble badly.

Ellen White, Jen Beattie and Ben Haines

Follow the final twists of the WSL season with Ben Haines, Ellen White and Jen Beattie on the Women's Football Weekly podcast. New episodes drop every Tuesday on BBC Sounds, plus find interviews and extra content from the Women's Super League and beyond on the Women's Football Weekly feed

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